Evaluating Forecasts of Emergency Department Visit Percentages Using Weighted Interval Scores

Last 2 Forecasts (EW48 - EW49)

Forecast Accuracy

Weekly Accuracy

Comparing Evaluation Metrics

Each point in the plots below represents a specific model. The red point is the ensemble.

Completeness of Submissions

Last 4 Forecasts (EW46 - EW49)

Forecast Accuracy

Weekly Accuracy

Comparing Evaluation Metrics

Each point in the plots below represents a specific model. The red point is the ensemble.

Completeness of Submissions

Last 8 Forecasts (EW42 - EW49)

Forecast Accuracy

Weekly Accuracy

Comparing Evaluation Metrics

Each point in the plots below represents a specific model. The red point is the ensemble.

Completeness of Submissions

Long-Term Performance

All Models

Season (EW42 - EW49)

Forecast Accuracy

Comparing Evaluation Metrics

Each point in the plots below represents a specific model. The red point is the ensemble.

Completeness of Submissions